BAI - US Commercial Forecasting Senior Manager, Cardiovascular
Amgen
Summary
The Forecasting team at Amgen plays a pivotal role as a strategic partner to Commercial leadership, offering data-backed insights crucial for driving commercial success. As a Senior Manager of Forecasting, you will contribute significantly to the Cardiovascular business, executing and managing discussions with brand leads. The individual in this role will need to thoughtfully influence and challenge a diverse set of stakeholders from Commercial, R&D, Medical, Finance, Manufacturing, Access, and Pricing/Contracting, while proficiently understanding the nuances of the particular disease area of interest and the market. This role reports to the Director of Forecasting and operates within the broader framework of Commercial Business Analytics & Insights (BAI). Flexible commuter role to the Thousand Oaks, CA office.
Job description
Responsibilities
Forecast development and management
- Build and maintain robust forecasting models using advanced techniques (trend analysis, regression, scenario planning)
- Incorporate internal and external data (sales trends, competitive landscape, market research) to refine forecasts
- Conduct regular forecast reviews and adjust as needed based on market dynamics, sales performance and strategic changes
Strategic analysis and insights
- Collaborate with cross-functional teams to align forecasts with business strategies
- Provide insights on performance drivers and potential risks and opportunities impacting the forecasts
- Evaluate and report the impact of market events (competitor launches, regulatory changes) on product performance
Stakeholder communication and collaboration
- Present forecasts and supporting insights to senior leadership and other stakeholders
- Work closely with supply chain teams to ensure forecasts align with inventory and operational planning
- Serve as the subject matter expert on forecast assumptions and methodologies
Data and technology optimization
- Leverage data visualization tools (e.g. Tableau, Power BI) to communicate insights effectively
- Utilize forecasting software and statistical tools to improve accuracy and efficiency
- Continuously explore and implement new data sources and analytical techniques to enhance forecasting processes
Oversight of one contingent worker: Manage and train offshore contract worker
Requirements
- Doctorate degree and 2 years of forecasting, analytics or finance experience OR Master's degree and 4 years of forecasting, analytics or finance experience OR Bachelor's degree and 6 years of forecasting, analytics or finance experience OR Associate's degree and 10 years of forecasting, analytics or finance experience OR High school diploma / GED and 12 years of forecasting, analytics or finance experience
- Ability to quickly establish credibility with and influence ED/VP level staff
- Knowledge and experience working with industry internal and secondary data sources; experience doing analog and uptake curve analysis
- Proficiency in advanced forecasting techniques, statistical modeling and data analysis
- Highly skilled in working collaboratively in a team-based environment and gaining alignment across an organization
- High level of proficiency in Excel, PowerPoint and Power BI
- Excellent communication skills with the ability to present complex data and insights to both technical and non-technical stakeholders
- Partnership with business leaders to deliver high-quality predictions guiding strategic decision-making
- Ability to interpret and analyze data trends, identify patterns and make data-driven decisions
- Experience with Monte Carlo analysis and statistical trending
Benefits
- Retirement and Savings Plan
- Group medical coverage
- Dental coverage
- Vision coverage
- Life insurance
- Disability insurance
- Flexible spending accounts
- Discretionary annual bonus
- Stock-based long-term incentives
- Paid time-off
- Flexible work models
Company overview
Amgen Inc. is a leading American multinational biopharmaceutical company headquartered in Thousand Oaks, California, founded in 1980. As one of the world's largest independent biotechnology companies, Amgen specializes in discovering, developing, manufacturing, and delivering innovative human therapeutics. The company focuses on six key therapeutic areas: inflammation, oncology/hematology, bone health, cardiovascular disease, nephrology, and neuroscience. Amgen's portfolio includes blockbuster drugs such as Enbrel for autoimmune diseases, Prolia and XGEVA for osteoporosis, Repatha for cholesterol management, Otezla for psoriasis, and Neulasta for chemotherapy-induced neutropenia. With approximately 28,000 employees worldwide, Amgen operates as a component of both the Dow Jones Industrial Average and Nasdaq-100 indices. The company maintains a robust research and development pipeline with numerous clinical programs across various stages, leveraging cutting-edge biotechnology and human genetic data to address some of the world's most challenging diseases. Amgen's manufacturing capabilities span multiple global locations, and it distributes products through pharmaceutical wholesale distributors and direct-to-consumer channels.