Senior Director Business Analytics & Insights, Forecasting
Arcutis Biotherapeutics
Summary
The Senior Director, Business Analytics & Insights, Forecasting will lead forecasting, primary and secondary research, and competitive intelligence across the company's marketed portfolio, early-stage pipeline, and business development opportunities. This leader will translate market insights, clinical evidence, and commercial analytics into actionable recommendations that inform portfolio strategy, investment decisions, and long-term growth.
Job description
Forecasting and Portfolio Planning
- Own the forecasting strategy, methodologies, and governance for in-line products, early-stage assets, and potential business development products.
- Oversee patient-based and demand-based forecasts supporting annual budgets, long-range plans, lifecycle planning, launch preparation, and investment decisions.
- Ensure forecasts incorporate epidemiology, diagnosis and treatment patterns, patient flow, market access, pricing, competitive activity, and anticipated clinical differentiation.
- Develop scenarios and sensitivity analyses that clearly communicate key assumptions, risks, opportunities, and uncertainty.
- Partner with Finance and commercial leaders to align forecasts with business planning and explain performance versus expectations.
- Establish consistent forecasting standards while tailoring approaches to each asset's stage, available evidence, and decision requirements.
Primary and Secondary Research
- Lead the primary and secondary research strategy across marketed products, pipeline assets, and business development opportunities.
- Prioritize research investments to address critical business questions and evidence gaps.
- Oversee qualitative and quantitative research with healthcare professionals, patients, caregivers, payers, and other relevant stakeholders.
- Ensure research informs market understanding, unmet needs, target product profiles, positioning, adoption assumptions, and commercialization strategy.
- Translate findings into clear recommendations and incorporate insights into forecasts and portfolio decisions.
- Maintain high standards for research quality, vendor performance, and adherence to company policies and applicable research requirements.
Competitive Intelligence
- Lead competitive intelligence across priority therapeutic areas, marketed products, and pipeline programs.
- Oversee monitoring and assessment of competitor clinical programs, regulatory milestones, launches, lifecycle strategies, and business development activity.
- Assess the commercial implications of emerging data, treatment approaches, and changes in standards of care.
- Deliver timely intelligence briefings, competitive landscape assessments, and scenario planning to leadership and cross-functional teams.
- Ensure competitive insights are reflected in forecasts, asset strategies, and investment recommendations.
Business Development and New Product Planning
- Lead forecasting and insights support for licensing, acquisition, co-development, and other strategic opportunities.
- Partner with Business Development and Finance to assess commercial potential and provide market assumptions supporting valuation and due diligence.
- Collaborate with New Product Planning on acquired assets and products in development to evaluate market attractiveness, unmet needs, differentiation, and commercial viability.
- Inform target product profiles, indication prioritization, lifecycle opportunities, and evidence-generation priorities through research and competitive assessment.
- Challenge assumptions constructively and articulate the evidence, uncertainties, and commercial risks underlying opportunity assessments.
- Support the transition of acquired or licensed assets into portfolio planning, establishing forecasting baselines and research priorities.
Leadership and Organizational Impact
- Build, lead, and develop a high-performing team across forecasting, market research, and competitive intelligence.
- Serve as a strategic advisor to senior leadership, presenting integrated insights and recommendations that support clear decisions.
- Manage functional budgets, external agencies, data providers, and consulting partners.
- Establish scalable processes that improve analytical rigor, collaboration, and timely delivery.
- Foster a culture of curiosity, accountability, objective analysis, and constructive challenge.
Requirements
- Bachelor's degree in business, life sciences, economics, statistics, or a related discipline
- Typically 10 or more years of relevant pharmaceutical or biotechnology experience
- Progressive leadership responsibility in forecasting, commercial insights, market research, or related functions
- Demonstrated experience overseeing forecasts for marketed products and pipeline assets
- Experience supporting business development assessments
- Strong understanding of pharmaceutical commercialization, drug development, market access, and portfolio planning
- Experience leading primary market research and translating findings into commercial strategy and forecasting assumptions
- Experience assessing competitive landscapes and interpreting commercial implications of clinical and regulatory developments
- Proven ability to lead teams, manage external partners, and influence senior stakeholders across functions
- Strong analytical judgment and ability to communicate complex information, assumptions, and uncertainty clearly
Company overview
Arcutis Biotherapeutics (Nasdaq: ARQT) is an early commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company founded in 2016 with a focused mission to address significant unmet needs in medical dermatology. The company specializes in developing and commercializing best-in-class topical therapies for chronic inflammatory skin conditions such as plaque psoriasis, atopic dermatitis, seborrheic dermatitis, and eczema. Arcutis leverages recent innovations in inflammation and immunology to target validated physiological pathways known to treat dermatological diseases. Headquartered in Westlake Village, California, the company operates with a team of approximately 201-500 employees and has established itself as a Great Place to Work®-Certified company, recognized as a Fortune Best Workplace in Biopharma™ for four consecutive years. Arcutis' experienced management team, which has collectively developed more than 50 FDA-approved products, employs a strategic approach to identify, develop, and commercialize differentiated dermatology products with reduced development time, lower costs, and substantially lower risk compared to traditional approaches.